Cedar Park Home Prices Drop 5.7%: 2026 Market Shifts Explained
Cedar Park Real Estate Market Update: February 2026
The Cedar Park housing market is experiencing significant shifts in early 2026. Median home prices have declined 2.3%-5.7% year-over-year, with sales volume dropping 28-33% compared to January 2025. This update provides actionable insights for buyers, sellers, and real estate investors navigating this cooling phase.
Key Market Trends for February 2026
Pricing Dynamics
- Median Home Price: $495,000-$510,000 (2.3%-5.7% YoY decline)
- Price Per Square Foot: $211-$216 (3.8%-5.3% decline from 2025)
- Neighborhood Tier Variance:
- ZIP 78613 (Cedar Park proper): 7% price drop ($522K → $483K)
- ZIP 78750 (premium SW area): 28% price drop ($690K → $494K)
| Neighborhood Tier | Price Trend | Buyer Demand |
|-------------------|--------------------|--------------|
| Tier 4 (Value) | Stable absorption | Strong |
| Tier 8 (Premium) | Significant softening | Weaker |
Sales Volume & Velocity
- Homes Sold: 35-44 in Jan 2026 (vs. 50 in Jan 2025)
- Days on Market: 51-124 days (118% YoY increase in some areas)
- Pending Sales Growth: Just 3.8% (down from 30% earlier in period)
Strategic Implications
For Sellers:
- Price Realistically: Premium neighborhoods require 7-10% price adjustments
- Stage Aggressively: Average listing photos now cost sellers 11-14 additional days on market
- Time Spring Listings: Target pre-Easter (mid-March) to avoid April inventory surge
For Buyers:
- Negotiation Power: Homes selling for 3-4% below ask on average
- Tier 4 Opportunities: Outer-ring neighborhoods offer better value
- Inspection Contingencies: Now accepted in 73% of transactions (up from 41% in 2022)
Seasonal Forecast
- Post-Easter Listings: 60-80 new properties expected mid-April
- Military Relocations: February-May brings consistent demand from Ft. Hood families (Military relocation program insights)
- Investor Activity: Down 62% from 2022 peak; focus shifts to owner-occupants
Frequently Asked Questions
How much have Cedar Park home prices dropped?
Median prices declined 2.3%-7% depending on neighborhood, with premium areas seeing drops up to 28%.
Is now a good time to buy in Cedar Park?
Yes - with increased inventory and reduced competition, buyers have more leverage than anytime since 2019.
When will the spring listing wave hit?
Expect significant new inventory April 18-25 following Easter holidays.
Conclusion
The Cedar Park market favors well-prepared participants. Sellers need expert pricing strategy (selling guide), while buyers gain advantage through expanded choices (buying guide).
Want personalized guidance? for data-driven strategies tailored to your home goals.
Sources & References
About the Author
Melissa Weiner
Real Estate Agent · Trust Real Estate · Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Melissa Weiner is a dedicated, licensed real estate professional proudly serving clients throughout Texas. Whether you're purchasing your first home, selling a property, upgrading, navigating a lifestyle change, or relocating (military/corporate) with confidence — Melissa combines unwavering integrity, sharp negotiation skills, and exceptional client-focused service to deliver outstanding results.
This article's content is written from publicly available data, market reports, and web-referenced sources believed to be reliable at the time of publication. Information is subject to change daily and does not constitute legal, financial, or real estate advice. Please consult a qualified professional for guidance.
